Cailungo vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
CAI
0 - 0
VIR
26%
25%
50%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
SGI
0 - 2
CAI
21%
23%
56%
|
56 | 33 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
CAI
1 - 0
FOL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
CAI
2 - 2
FAE
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
FIO
0 - 3
CAI
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 2
SGI
78%
15%
8%
|
63 | 32 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 0
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 4
VIR
48%
24%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
TPE
0 - 0
LIB
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |