Cailungo vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
DOM
0 - 0
CAI
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
CAI
0 - 1
TPE
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
CAI
2 - 0
TFI
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
PEN
1 - 3
CAI
42%
25%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
CAI
3 - 2
VIR
41%
25%
34%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 2
FIO
71%
17%
11%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
COS
0 - 1
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
LIB
1 - 1
VIR
38%
25%
37%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2000 |
LIB
5 - 1
TFI
50%
24%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2000 |
SGI
3 - 3
LIB
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |