Cailungo vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
FIO
0 - 0
CAI
41%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
DOM
1 - 2
CAI
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GSD
0 - 1
CAI
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
CAI
2 - 2
TFI
36%
26%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
TPE
2 - 6
CAI
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1999 |
VIR
2 - 2
LIB
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
LIB
3 - 2
JUV
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
41%
25%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
GSD
1 - 2
LIB
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |