Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
JUV
1 - 2
CAI
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 5
FIO
18%
20%
62%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 5
CAI
60%
21%
18%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 2
TPE
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DOM
3 - 0
CAI
48%
25%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TFI
1 - 2
FOL
34%
25%
41%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 0
SGI
72%
17%
11%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FOL
4 - 1
SGI
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LIB
0 - 4
FOL
29%
29%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |