Cailungo vs Folgore analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
SGI
1 - 4
CAI
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
JUV
1 - 3
CAI
23%
25%
53%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CAI
4 - 1
FAE
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2001 |
FAE
1 - 0
CAI
50%
24%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2001 |
CAI
1 - 1
FIO
77%
15%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 3
DOM
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FAE
0 - 4
FOL
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
FOL
5 - 0
JUV
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
COS
1 - 3
FOL
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2001 |
FOL
2 - 0
TFI
68%
19%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |