Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.7%
75.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
18.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
12.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAI
80%
13%
7%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 3
VIR
7%
18%
75%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CAI
0 - 4
SGI
15%
21%
64%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAI
1 - 3
TFI
7%
20%
73%
|
36 | 69 | 33 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
0 - 2
CAI
51%
21%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
DOM
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 2
TPE
42%
26%
33%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
TPE
1 - 3
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
0 - 3
FIO
17%
25%
59%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
FIO
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |