Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.6%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.4%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
76.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.4%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
16%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.8%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
CAI
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 3
COS
12%
21%
67%
|
40 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 1
CAI
14%
17%
70%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CAI
1 - 4
TPE
9%
17%
74%
|
40 | 65 | 25 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
79%
15%
7%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
68%
20%
11%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
CAI
79%
15%
7%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | 0 |