Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
40%
24%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
0 - 1
FIO
25%
26%
49%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
1 - 0
PEN
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CAI
2 - 3
JUV
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
CAI
74%
16%
11%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 4
FIO
34%
24%
43%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
2 - 2
TFI
51%
23%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
0 - 2
TPE
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 0
DOM
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
FIO
3 - 3
COS
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |