Cailungo vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
70.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
COS
26%
24%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
4 - 5
CAI
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
2 - 0
MUR
21%
25%
55%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
CAI
1 - 2
LIB
23%
26%
51%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 3
CAI
68%
21%
11%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
JUV
1 - 5
FIO
17%
20%
63%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
2 - 1
JUV
71%
19%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FIO
0 - 1
LIB
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
FAE
1 - 2
FIO
18%
23%
60%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 4
FIO
11%
17%
72%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | -1 |