Cailungo vs Faetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cailungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PEN
1 - 6
CAI
60%
23%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
CAI
2 - 0
FOL
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
CAI
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
FIO
1 - 3
CAI
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
CAI
2 - 1
TPE
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Faetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 0
FAE
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FAE
0 - 2
FIO
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
FAE
4 - 0
SGI
72%
18%
9%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 0
FAE
63%
20%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
FAE
1 - 0
COS
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |