Caíde Rei vs ADC Frazão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caíde Rei
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NUN
1 - 1
CAI
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 1
AEI
25%
22%
53%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LIV
3 - 1
CAI
40%
23%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
1 - 0
ATA
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VBQ
0 - 1
CAI
23%
22%
54%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ADC Frazão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MEL
2 - 0
FRA
59%
20%
21%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 3
NUN
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AEI
3 - 2
FRA
83%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 3
LIV
38%
23%
39%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATA
1 - 0
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | -1 |