Caico EC vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caico EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 4
ASS
18%
21%
60%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
COR
0 - 0
CEC
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 2
BAR
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 1
CEC
75%
15%
9%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALE
3 - 1
CEC
73%
17%
10%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
POT
0 - 1
ABC
11%
19%
70%
|
40 | 68 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
POT
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
POT
1 - 2
ALE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 0
POT
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 0
POT
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |