Caico EC vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
72.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caico EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
CEC
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 41 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEC
0 - 3
COR
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 1
CEC
75%
16%
9%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CEC
1 - 3
PAL
18%
21%
61%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
CEC
2 - 1
ALE
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 41 | 31 | +6 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
4 - 2
ARN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
2 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ALE
1 - 6
ABC
12%
20%
69%
|
66 | 40 | 26 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
ABC
1 - 1
COR
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | -1 |