Caiçara vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
PAR
2 - 3
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAI
0 - 0
4DE
19%
21%
61%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
1 - 1
CAI
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAI
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAR
4 - 0
CAI
72%
18%
11%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
RIV
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
19%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
FLA
0 - 3
PAR
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
4DE
0 - 0
FLA
47%
26%
27%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
4DE
1 - 0
FLA
48%
25%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |