Caiçara vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caiçara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
4DE
4 - 0
CAI
75%
16%
9%
|
29 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
4DE
4 - 1
CAI
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CAC
2 - 1
CAI
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 2
PAR
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
CAI
1 - 4
4DE
22%
23%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 0
PIA
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
64%
21%
15%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 0
PIC
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
1 - 2
CAC
22%
23%
55%
|
30 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 2
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |