Caguas Sporting vs Mirabelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caguas Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
4 - 2
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
6 - 3
MAY
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
4 - 1
GUA
28%
24%
48%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
CAG
2 - 7
BAY
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
3 - 2
CAG
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mirabelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MIR
3 - 0
MAY
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 0
MIR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
GUA
4 - 3
MIR
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
3 - 2
CAG
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2018 |
MIR
1 - 4
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |