Cagliari vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAG
34%
28%
39%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
3 - 0
LEO
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 2
CAG
20%
27%
54%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 1
BAR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
INT
3 - 0
CAG
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
TER
1 - 0
TRA
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 0
TER
64%
22%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
TER
1 - 1
VIR
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CES
4 - 0
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TER
4 - 0
COM
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |