Cagliari vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
GEN
1 - 1
CAG
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CAG
2 - 0
PIS
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAG
3 - 1
ROM
50%
24%
27%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
CAG
2 - 1
VAR
68%
18%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
LEC
46%
32%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
SAM
0 - 0
SSS
70%
20%
10%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 2
PES
43%
30%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PRG
4 - 0
SSS
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SSS
1 - 1
AVE
44%
29%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |