Coppa Italia Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Cagliari vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
25.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 0
CAG
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
1 - 1
JUV
18%
24%
58%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2005 |
LAZ
3 - 2
CAG
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
UDI
2 - 0
CAG
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
CAG
2 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
LAZ
1 - 2
SAM
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
0 - 0
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
1 - 2
TOR
66%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
INT
3 - 2
SAM
77%
16%
8%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2005 |
SAM
2 - 0
UDI
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |