Cagliari U18 vs Milan U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
19.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
18º
17º
34
6º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 68 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 60 |
4º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
54% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 55 |
6º
|
87.5% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 46 |
9º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 44 |
10º
|
29.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
23% | |
|
12º
|
39 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 41 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
57% | |
|
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
41% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
63% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
43.5% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 24 |
18º
|
43.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAG
32%
22%
47%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 3
GEN
39%
21%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAG
51%
21%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CAG
4 - 0
SAM
73%
15%
11%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SAS
2 - 4
CAG
30%
23%
47%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Milan U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 2
ASR
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
INT
3 - 0
MIL
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
3 - 3
EMP
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 4
GEN
28%
24%
49%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
MIL
41%
25%
35%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |