Cagliari U18 vs Lecce U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19%
20.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
10º
6º
32
7º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cagliari U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HEL
0 - 2
CAG
39%
22%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAG
4 - 1
FRO
86%
10%
5%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FIO
3 - 2
CAG
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 2
CAG
40%
22%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 3
SAS
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
LEC
1 - 2
FIO
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
LEC
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
LEC
3 - 1
SAS
38%
23%
38%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
LEC
81%
12%
8%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2024 |
LAZ
4 - 2
LEC
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |