Caesar vs Wittenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.8%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RVU
2 - 1
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 3
OSS
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RKS
2 - 0
CAE
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 2
BSV
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HVC
0 - 0
CAE
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Wittenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
WIT
3 - 2
HEI
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
TOP
0 - 0
WIT
26%
23%
51%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
WIT
2 - 1
HVV
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
WIT
3 - 2
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GSV
0 - 3
WIT
21%
23%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +1 |