Caesar vs VVOG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
56.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
CAE
0 - 5
ASW
8%
16%
77%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | 0 |
Matches
VVOG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
DEL
1 - 2
VVO
38%
25%
38%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
VVO
4 - 1
KOZ
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SDC
0 - 3
VVO
31%
25%
45%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
VVO
0 - 0
SVG
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
VVO
1 - 0
GVV
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |