Caesar vs Sparta '25 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
65.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
GSV
5 - 1
CAE
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 4
WIT
13%
20%
68%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RVU
2 - 1
CAE
44%
24%
32%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 3
OSS
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RKS
2 - 0
CAE
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta '25
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 4
HEI
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
TOP
1 - 1
SPA
54%
21%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SPA
0 - 2
HVV
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 2
MEE
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SPA
1 - 1
GSV
68%
17%
14%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |