Caesar vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caesar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RKS
2 - 0
CAE
83%
12%
6%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
3 - 2
BSV
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HVC
0 - 0
CAE
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
MEE
4 - 0
CAE
86%
10%
4%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 2
HEI
16%
21%
63%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
OSS
4 - 3
HEI
51%
23%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
TOP
2 - 3
OSS
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OSS
0 - 0
HVV
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
OSS
3 - 1
SPA
58%
21%
22%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SVN
2 - 4
OSS
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |