Caersws vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
63.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
NEW
4 - 1
CAE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
CON
5 - 0
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
CAE
2 - 2
RHY
15%
21%
64%
|
38 | 66 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
WEL
3 - 1
CAE
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
POR
4 - 0
CAE
74%
18%
9%
|
39 | 66 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
RHY
1 - 2
TNS
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
TNS
1 - 0
LLA
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2010 |
CEF
0 - 0
TNS
14%
24%
63%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2010 |
TNS
5 - 0
POR
84%
11%
4%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
TNS
1 - 0
NEA
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |