Caersws vs Llanelli AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2008 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAE
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2008 |
CAE
1 - 2
TNS
25%
24%
50%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 2
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 0
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAE
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2008 |
LLA
3 - 3
NEA
76%
15%
9%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LLA
5 - 0
LLA
82%
13%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2008 |
CEF
2 - 5
LLA
19%
21%
61%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 1
CAR
62%
20%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
CAR
1 - 2
LLA
37%
24%
39%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |