Caersws vs Haverfordwest County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
51.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 3
BAN
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2009 |
TNS
4 - 0
CAE
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 69 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
3 - 1
CAE
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2009 |
LLA
7 - 1
CAE
90%
8%
3%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
CAE
1 - 2
POR
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 65 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 0
TNS
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
RHY
1 - 2
HAV
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
0 - 1
LLA
24%
24%
53%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 2
NEA
40%
25%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
HAV
1 - 2
ABE
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |