Caersws vs Grange Quins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 2
CWM
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
CEF
2 - 0
CAE
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
CON
1 - 3
CAE
37%
25%
37%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
CAE
1 - 1
ABE
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2006 |
AIR
1 - 1
CAE
33%
25%
42%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grange Quins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 5
POR
28%
27%
46%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 5
LLA
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
GRA
0 - 3
TNS
13%
21%
67%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
WEL
2 - 1
GRA
75%
16%
9%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
GRA
1 - 1
CWM
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |