Caersws vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAE
34%
25%
41%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAR
51%
24%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2001 |
CAR
0 - 6
CAE
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
BAN
2 - 2
CAE
30%
24%
46%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
LLA
1 - 3
CAE
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
HAV
2 - 0
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
CON
2 - 1
LLA
55%
23%
22%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
BAR
4 - 0
CON
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2001 |
CON
1 - 2
RHY
52%
24%
24%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |