Caersws vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 1
MOL
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
DEN
2 - 1
CAE
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOL
0 - 1
CAE
61%
19%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAE
5 - 5
PRE
25%
21%
54%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 2
CON
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
FLI
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 2
CEF
11%
16%
73%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 0
MOL
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CON
1 - 3
CEF
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CEF
1 - 1
HOL
65%
20%
16%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |