Caersws vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
RHA
3 - 2
CAE
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
RHY
0 - 3
CAE
21%
20%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 0
CAE
68%
17%
15%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
LLA
3 - 1
CAE
24%
23%
53%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
CAE
0 - 1
RHA
85%
10%
6%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2013 |
CEF
4 - 0
PEN
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
CEF
5 - 1
LLA
75%
16%
10%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RHA
0 - 4
CEF
21%
23%
56%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CEF
4 - 0
BUC
54%
23%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
RHY
2 - 0
CEF
69%
18%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |