Caersws vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
41.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 4
CAE
31%
24%
45%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 2
CAE
19%
22%
59%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
CAE
25%
23%
52%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 0
CAE
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
CAE
0 - 1
FLI
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ABE
0 - 1
CEF
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
RHY
1 - 2
CEF
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
GUI
1 - 2
CEF
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PRE
0 - 2
CEF
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
RTW
1 - 1
CEF
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -1 |