Caersws vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2000 |
OSW
0 - 1
CAE
40%
25%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
CWM
1 - 2
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2000 |
CON
0 - 3
CAE
53%
23%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
CAE
0 - 1
HAV
69%
18%
13%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
BAR
3 - 3
CAE
60%
20%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
CEF
3 - 3
HAV
60%
22%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2000 |
BAR
2 - 0
CEF
67%
18%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2000 |
CEF
2 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2000 |
ABE
3 - 0
CEF
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2000 |
CEF
2 - 1
LLA
34%
25%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |