Caersws vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
LLA
2 - 0
CAE
35%
24%
42%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CAE
1 - 4
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
CAE
4 - 0
LLA
65%
19%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
CAE
2 - 2
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
CAE
0 - 1
LID
64%
21%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
ABE
3 - 0
OSW
75%
16%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CEF
1 - 2
ABE
29%
24%
48%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2001 |
ABE
1 - 0
POR
71%
17%
12%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2001 |
BAN
1 - 1
ABE
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2001 |
ABE
0 - 2
BAN
72%
16%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -2 |