Caersws vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caersws
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
NEW
2 - 3
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2000 |
LLA
3 - 2
CAE
63%
20%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
CAE
0 - 1
LLA
43%
25%
33%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2000 |
CON
0 - 4
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
RHY
2 - 0
CAE
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2000 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
ABE
2 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2000 |
RHY
1 - 0
ABE
35%
25%
41%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
LLA
4 - 1
ABE
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
35%
25%
41%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |