Caernarfon Town vs Porthmadog analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
LLA
3 - 2
CAE
88%
9%
3%
|
43 | 69 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
CAE
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 2
CAE
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
POR
5 - 3
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
PRE
5 - 0
CAE
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Porthmadog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
LEX
2 - 0
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
NEW
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2008 |
PRE
5 - 2
POR
62%
20%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
CEF
59%
21%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
POR
2 - 3
BAN
23%
22%
55%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |