Caernarfon Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
2 - 2
CAE
10%
16%
75%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
LLA
0 - 5
CAE
4%
11%
85%
|
53 | 16 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 2
CAE
5%
11%
84%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
RTW
0 - 4
CAE
14%
18%
68%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CAE
5 - 3
CAE
91%
7%
3%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 1
TOW
60%
21%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
TRA
1 - 0
CEF
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 1
TRA
23%
22%
55%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CEF
1 - 0
CAR
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
CEF
2 - 0
CON
30%
27%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +2 |