Caernarfon Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
WEL
2 - 4
CAE
75%
17%
9%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 7
TNS
22%
24%
55%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
NEU
1 - 3
CAE
14%
19%
67%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 3
LLA
62%
21%
18%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
AIR
1 - 2
CAE
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
CEF
0 - 2
NEA
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
LLA
2 - 0
CEF
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
CEF
3 - 0
HOL
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 1
TNS
25%
23%
52%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2007 |
CEF
1 - 4
RHY
21%
23%
56%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |