Caernarfon Town vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CAE
2 - 0
WEL
23%
24%
53%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAE
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
ABE
2 - 0
CAE
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
CAE
1 - 0
NEW
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CWM
0 - 3
CAE
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 2
HAV
27%
26%
47%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2007 |
TNS
3 - 1
CEF
81%
13%
5%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NEW
0 - 2
CEF
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
CEF
0 - 1
LLA
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2007 |
CEF
2 - 3
RHY
16%
20%
64%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |