Caerleon vs West End analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
GOY
2 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
AFC
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
2 - 1
CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
West End
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
WES
3 - 0
TON
64%
19%
17%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
WES
0 - 2
ABE
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
1 - 0
WES
27%
23%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WES
0 - 2
BRI
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
WES
4 - 0
PON
59%
21%
20%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |