Caerleon vs Ton Pentre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability

1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.7%
Win probability

1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
![]() 0 - 3
![]() WES
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
06 Apr. 2013 |
GOY
![]() 2 - 1
![]() CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
30 Mar. 2013 |
CAR
![]() 2 - 3
![]() AFC
22%
23%
55%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | -1 |
19 Mar. 2013 |
ABE
![]() 2 - 1
![]() CAR
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
09 Mar. 2013 |
BRY
![]() 2 - 0
![]() CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ton Pentre

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
09 Apr. 2013 |
TAT
![]() 2 - 2
![]() TON
25%
23%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
06 Apr. 2013 |
WES
![]() 3 - 0
![]() TON
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
03 Apr. 2013 |
TON
![]() 0 - 1
![]() AFC
45%
23%
31%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
27 Mar. 2013 |
BRI
![]() 1 - 1
![]() TON
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
08 Mar. 2013 |
TON
![]() 4 - 3
![]() TAF
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |