Caerleon vs Ton Pentre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TAF
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 3
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 3
WES
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
TON
4 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
69%
18%
13%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Ton Pentre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
TON
1 - 1
CAM
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
TON
2 - 0
CAR
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
BRY
3 - 1
TON
53%
23%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
TON
6 - 1
WES
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
TON
0 - 5
GOY
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |