Caerleon vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
76.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.1%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15.8%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 2
TAT
39%
24%
37%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAR
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
CWM
28%
24%
48%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
3 - 0
CAR
80%
14%
7%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
BRI
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
TAF
40%
23%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PON
2 - 1
TAF
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
BRY
1 - 1
TAF
40%
24%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
TAF
3 - 2
ABE
49%
22%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2013 |
GOY
1 - 0
TAF
32%
23%
45%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |