Caerleon vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
GAR
2 - 0
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 6
GOY
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
2 - 1
DIN
41%
25%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAM
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
ABE
1 - 0
CAR
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
TAF
3 - 2
CAR
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 1
TAF
73%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
TAF
1 - 2
BFC
34%
25%
40%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
TAF
1 - 0
PON
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
TAF
1 - 2
BRY
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |