Caerleon vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2008 |
LID
1 - 1
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 2
PON
58%
23%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
QPA
2 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2008 |
CAM
1 - 1
CAR
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TAF
0 - 2
BRI
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
TAF
0 - 0
BRY
26%
23%
51%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2008 |
LID
2 - 0
TAF
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
TAF
3 - 3
CRO
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
NWP
3 - 1
TAF
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |