Caerleon vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 1
NEA
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 4
TON
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
ERA
1 - 2
CAR
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 0
NWP
27%
25%
49%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +4 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CAR
0 - 2
CRO
35%
25%
40%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -3 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
TON
6 - 0
TAF
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TAF
4 - 3
ERA
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
TAF
2 - 2
NWP
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2006 |
TAF
1 - 3
CRO
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 5
TAF
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |