Caerleon vs Taffs Well analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
GOY
7 - 3
CAR
75%
16%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 2
NEA
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
TON
4 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 0
BRI
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BRY
2 - 0
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Taffs Well
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
TAF
0 - 1
MAE
30%
24%
47%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
TAF
2 - 4
BRI
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
DIN
1 - 2
TAF
50%
24%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2005 |
TAF
2 - 2
CAR
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
NWP
2 - 1
TAF
54%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |