Caerleon vs Skewen Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
46.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAR
66%
19%
16%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAE
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
GWY
1 - 4
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
TAF
2 - 0
CAR
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2005 |
NFC
1 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Skewen Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2005 |
SKE
1 - 2
TON
44%
24%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
LLW
1 - 0
SKE
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SKE
3 - 1
ERA
75%
16%
10%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 2
SKE
39%
25%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
BFC
0 - 1
SKE
30%
25%
46%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |