Caerleon vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2006 |
PON
1 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
LID
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAE
17%
22%
61%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | +4 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
CAR
2 - 0
LLW
44%
25%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
TAF
4 - 1
CAR
52%
23%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
PON
0 - 5
GOY
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
PON
1 - 0
ABE
21%
21%
58%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +1 |